Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.029094 0.031358 0.033728 0.036395 0.039316 0.042423 0.045983
2025-01-26 0.025569 0.028810 0.032383 0.036628 0.041553 0.047107 0.053873
2025-02-02 0.023381 0.027238 0.031663 0.037146 0.043796 0.051653 0.061712
2025-02-09 0.021329 0.025506 0.030453 0.036790 0.044760 0.054542 0.067594
2025-02-16 0.019789 0.024196 0.029555 0.036621 0.045792 0.057430 0.073539
2025-02-23 0.018458 0.023005 0.028665 0.036318 0.046530 0.059883 0.078989
2025-03-02 0.017439 0.022115 0.028062 0.036289 0.047552 0.062695 0.085049
2025-03-09 0.016361 0.021066 0.027160 0.035766 0.047820 0.064436 0.089668
2025-03-16 0.015341 0.020023 0.026191 0.035062 0.047749 0.065642 0.093535
2025-03-23 0.014559 0.019250 0.025530 0.034723 0.048138 0.067486 0.098431
2025-03-30 0.013856 0.018544 0.024913 0.034392 0.048491 0.069260 0.103305
2025-04-06 0.013105 0.017729 0.024095 0.033715 0.048268 0.070125 0.106771
2025-04-13 0.012728 0.017428 0.023995 0.034087 0.049654 0.073554 0.114675
2025-04-20 0.012253 0.016961 0.023631 0.034038 0.050383 0.075991 0.121128
2025-04-27 0.011945 0.016721 0.023579 0.034453 0.051847 0.079679 0.129992
2025-05-04 0.011455 0.016186 0.023063 0.034114 0.052075 0.081345 0.135433
2025-05-11 0.011047 0.015756 0.022680 0.033957 0.052577 0.083480 0.141867
2025-05-18 0.010636 0.015302 0.022239 0.033679 0.052853 0.085232 0.147718
2025-05-25 0.010313 0.014968 0.021965 0.033652 0.053539 0.087723 0.155150
2025-06-01 0.009903 0.014484 0.021434 0.033174 0.053419 0.088770 0.159863
2025-06-08 0.009480 0.013961 0.020822 0.032530 0.052970 0.089185 0.163346
2025-06-15 0.009155 0.013582 0.020422 0.032221 0.053088 0.090631 0.169010
2025-06-22 0.008851 0.013223 0.020038 0.031918 0.053195 0.092056 0.174735